Coronavirus Facts and Figures: Friday, July 24 2020 – Experts Expect Another Million Cases in Under 2 Weeks

By Anna Breuer on 24 July 2020
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Saint Louis Cathedral at Jackson Square

The number of coronavirus cases across the globe crossed the 15 million mark on Wednesday and now stands at 15.65 million, an increase of 276,000 people over the past 24 hours, a record number.  Out of this, 9.54 million have recovered, based on data compiled by Worldometer, a service that aggregates and makes available world statistics. The death toll now stands at 636,470.

The number of daily deaths was 6,309 on Thursday.

Just as the United States crossed the four million mark on Thursday, health experts there predicted that the country will add one million more cases in two weeks.

In the United States and its territories, over 70,000 new cases were reported on Thursday.  The number of confirmed cases stands at 4.17 million, while the death toll is at 147,233.

The number of cases is skyrocketing in Florida and Texas, but it is surging in three nearby Gulf Coast states as well, Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi.

Brazil continues to have the second highest number of cases in the world, and is now at 2.29 million as of Thursday, with a death toll of 84,207.  India is in third place, with 1.29 million total cases and a death toll of 30,365, and Russia is in fourth place, with 795,038 cases and a death toll of 12,892.

The critical R0 figure in Germany fell to 0.93 as a 4-day average, down from 1.04 on Wednesday, according to the Robert-Koch-Institut. Four weeks ago it had been at 2.88.

R0, pronounced “r naught,” is a mathematical term that indicates how contagious an infectious disease is.

While international correlation of these figures are difficult, perhaps the most useful comparison is to look at the deaths per million members of the population, with the caveat that there are differences in how countries record deaths. It’s also important to keep in mind that the number of deaths is a lagging indicator.

Tiny San Marino, with a population of just over 33,000 and which has been testing all of its inhabitants, continues to have the highest number of deaths per million members of the population, at 1,238, unchanged for 60 days.

Belgium has the second highest number of deaths per million members of the population, 846 (unchanged for 3 days). It is followed by Andorra with 673 (unchanged in 38 days) and the United Kingdom with 671.  Spain reported 608 (unchanged in 5 days), Italy, 580 (unchanged in 5 days), while Sweden and France reported 562 and 462, respectively, the latter unchanged for 8 days.

The Netherlands, Ireland, Canada, and Switzerland have reported 358 (unchanged for 15 days), 357, 235 (unchanged in 3 days) and 228 (unchanged), respectively.  In Germany the figure is 110 (unchanged in 3 days), while in Austria it is 79 (unchanged in 14 days).

The number of deaths per million members of the population in the United States is now 445.  It continues to be three in China, according to official figures there, which are believed to be an undercount.

(Photo: Accura Media Group)

Accura News

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